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The outlook for buy-side hiring on Wall Street in 2017

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We’ve given our predictions for sell-side recruitment on Wall Street in 2017, but what about the buy-side? Here’s what recruiters and industry insiders think.

Data scientists are in high demand

The biggest area where Reshma Ketkar, director and head of the long-only investment professionals recruiting practice at Glocap Search, is seeing demand on the buy side is for data scientists.

“We are seeing this demand across a number of different client types, including traditional investment managers, hedge funds, quant funds, fintech firms and big and small technology firms,” she said. “Data scientists make sense of insights found in big data and can use it to make better decisions across a wide variety of disciples.”

Pete Cherecwich, the head of global fund services and the Americas institutional business at Northern Trust, agrees. He believes that data will absolutely become the critical area of focus this year and beyond, both for service providers and asset managers.

“From my perspective, anyone who has an educational background in data analytics or a subject area such as engineering or math that leads to that kind of role will be well-placed,” Cherecwich said. “As the industry becomes more automated, it’s all about understanding all of the data in the warehouse that is available to you and being able to make business decisions off of it.

Buy-side firms want to hire people who understand the math behind all of the data analytics using complex algorithms and can come up with new ways of looking at data to generate alpha.

“You can teach people how the market works, but can they look at data, come up with a hypothesis, look at the structure behind that and test it?” Cherecwich said. “If you can come up with your own theories and generate alpha, you’ll be in demand.”

Cost-cutting to hit investment professionals?

In asset management, the hiring of more portfolio managers and analysts last year needs to be paying off by now, said to Carol Hartman, managing partner in the North American financial services practice at DHR International.

“If those investments are not paying off with AUM growing and margins improving, then you will see retrenchment on those platforms,” she said. “It may be at the expense of products and services to clients depending on the deals that were made.”

The vast majority of the 10,000-plus hedge funds have had another disappointing year of performance, and continue to struggle to justify the classic management and performance fee structures.

Duncan Hiller, director of Paragon Alpha, a recruitment firm that specializes in hedge fund portfolio managers, said he has seen some real winners emerging in the last quarter of 2016.

He said his firm is seeing renewed demand for PMs in Q1 2017 for quantitative expertise. Portfolio managers with the all-important track record are in very high demand, across the spectrum from high-frequency and intra-day to multi-day and beyond, Hiller said.

“The established firms and platforms have been joined by very well-funded start-ups and more nascent funds, meaning there is a real opportunity for individuals and teams to find a very active market for their talents,” he said.

Hillier says that after a tough start to the year, some macro hedge funds have benefited considerably from large movements already in interest rates and currencies, and this is likely to continue in 2017.

And, with the high number of hedge fund closures in 2016, this presents opportunities for others.

“With relatively low performance at big name multi-strategy hedge funds, we predict some of the new startups with CIOs rolled out of top-tier funds will have an opportunity to build assets and talent through 2017 given the right infrastructure, risk controls and a few quarters of positive performance as investors look to reap the benefits of new market opportunities,” Hiller said.

Sell-side research analysts moving to the buy side

With investment banks and sell-side research firms in secular decline, there is an oversupply of sell-side research analysts. Typically, these analysts would be a subset of the candidate pool for buy-side research analyst positions within traditional asset managers.

“The effects on compensation for sell-side equity and credit research analysts are still to be determined, but we predict decreased levels of compensation with excess supply,” Ketkar said. “The big question will be whether buy-side asset management firms decide to hire more sell-side analysts without an investment track record, or if these sell-siders need to find a new home.”

Trump bump?

The incoming Trump administration has talked about ramping up infrastructure projects such as roads, tunnels and bridges, which is a possible boost for the buy-side, including private equity and real estate funds, as more capital is invested back into the markets, according to Paul Webster, managing director and the head of North America at Page Executive.

“The buy side saw a slow year last year, but we do expect more hiring activity this year,” he said. “That includes PE, long-only asset managers and hedge funds. The banks have been lending less money as they are skittish about committing large amounts of capital, which has had a knock-on effect on the buy side, as some firms step in to fill the void.”

Jerry Battipaglia, managing director of the financial services division at the Execu|Search Group, shares that outlook. More specifically, buy-side firms will be looking to hire experienced investor relations and business development professionals, Battipaglia said. In addition, quantitative analysis specialists have been in more demand over the past 12 months.

“Machine learning and quant analysts have been on the rise, as firms are looking to be on the forefront of innovation,” he said.

Automation may be a job-killer, but it also opens up opportunities

As automation has come to dominate the asset management industry more and more over the last 20 years, there are fewer people who understand the full end-to-end processes and infrastructure at any given firm.

“The career advice I give to people now is to learn how the plumbing works in the financial services industry,” Cherecwich said. “Plenty of people know how their one piece of the puzzle works, but very few know how it works in the end-to-end process.

“Even consultants are having trouble finding such people, so that is hugely valuable, because as automation has increased, that knowledge has gone away,” he said. “I have 4,500 people working for me, and while we talk about automation, there is still plenty of work.

“It comes down to people who are hard workers, smart and analytical – we do have roles that you need to be trained in accounting, but we also have roles that you don’t need a finance background. If you have the analytical capabilities, a liberal arts degree is fine – you can still come up from the bottom and learn to master the job over time.”

Photo credit: jxfzsy/GettyImages
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This hedge fund has slashed pay and headcount as profits slip by 61%

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Hedge fund Cheyne Capital Management has cut senior headcount and reduced pay for its partners after a year when profits slipped by 61%.

Cheyne, which has around £8bn in assets under management, reduced the number of senior staff in its UK operation by 14% in the year to 31 March 2016, according to new accounts released on Companies House today.

It’s no surprise that both pay and headcount slipped at Cheyne – profits went from £16.3m in 2015 to £6.5m last year, or a 61% decline. The number of members it employs fell from 51 in 2015 to 44 at the end of March last year.

Cheyne also brought its rank and file staff into the LLP this year, and now employs 57 people in the UK outside of the partner level. It paid them an average of £137.5k ($166.4k). This puts it towards the bottom of our UK hedge fund pay ranking.

Within the partnership, the highest paid member received £4.9m ($6m), down from £8.8m in 2015. On a per head basis, average member pay was £148k last year.

Cheyne lost some senior employees throughout last year. Its chief investment officer, Chris Goekjian, retired to manage his own wealth through a new firm called Blue Glen Investment Partners. Its head of equities, John Hyman, also left in July.

More recently, however, Cheyne has been hiring. It took on Frederic Denjoy, a former Brevan Howard partner, in September as a partner and an equities portfolio manager. He was most recently running his own hedge fund, Denjoy Partners, which shut in 2015.

It also brought in Nikos Karadouris, the former head of marketing and business development at Numen Capital, as a portfolio manager and product specialist.

Contact: pclarke@efinancialcareers.com

Photo: Getty Images

How blockchain will affect financial services employment

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Every so often, a new technological development comes along which revolutionizes the financial services industry. Not since the introduction of the internet – more than two decades ago – has any force promised to shake-up the industry with as much force as blockchain. The same technology behind Bitcoin, blockchain is now finding new applications in financial services.

But what impact will it have on the employment market?

For those unfamiliar with the technology, blockchain can be thought of as essentially a digital ledger. Much like Google Sheets, the blockchain itself is a basic spreadsheet hosted from every user’s computer. The distributed ledger simply records transactions, then shares that information in a constantly-updated database that is freely viewable by all users. It can be accessed, traced and verified against itself at any time by anyone with the software, thereby enforcing accountability and making fraudulent transactions much more difficult to perpetrate.

Blockchain’s impact on financial services

A technology as revolutionary as blockchain will undoubtedly have a major impact on the financial services landscape. Many herald blockchain for its potential to demystify the complex financial services industry, while also reducing costs, improving transparency to reduce the regulatory burden on the industry. But despite its potential role as a precursor to extend financial services to the unbanked, many fear that its effect on the industry may have more cons than pros.

Industries including payments, banking, security and more will all feel the impact of the growing adoption of this technology. Profit centers that leverage financial inefficiencies will be stressed. Companies will lose their value proposition and a loss of sustainable jobs will follow. The introduction of blockchain to the finance industry is similar to the effect of robotics in manufacturing: change in the way we do things, leading to fewer jobs, is inevitable.

For example, four major financial institutions teamed up back in August to develop and implement the Utility Settlement Coin, a cash equivalent that will enable interbank blockchain exchanges. This clearly signals the banks’ intent to further develop and leverage blockchain technology in one way or another going forward.

Blockchain will cut headcount for some professions, but create other jobs

Of course, blockchain will undoubtedly impact those who work in the finance sector. Smoothing the contemporary workings of the industry will help firms cut a tremendous sum in operational costs – that means cutting jobs as well.

As a case in point, blockchain transactions require very little oversight in the way of processing reconciling; therefore, jobs in these fields will not be relevant with wider adoption of the technology.

Just as the internet shook up finance in the 1990s, broader adoption of blockchain means certain roles within the industry will vanish, while other new ones come into existence. Perhaps it’s more accurate to think that these occupations will evolve, rather than disappear.

New roles in security fields like encryption and identity protection will develop, as financial services firms will still need to audit their records against blockchain to detect potential fraud or other threat sources.

A wider and more diverse range of careers will experience the same effect as blockchain develops and more applications for the concept are realized and put into practice.

One potential use for blockchain technology could be in home sales and mortgage lending – blockchain could streamline this process, impacting the demand for real estate brokers and lenders.

Monica Eaton-Cardone, GRT, blockchain, distributed ledger, Bitcoin, block chain

Monica Eaton-Cardone of GRT

How blockchain will be used in the future

Blockchain, if used properly, promises to deliver benefits to consumers, governments, banks and other financial institutions. By the same token, those who may stand to be displaced by blockchain need not fear being tossed out on the street next week.

Though the blockchain concept has grown a great deal since it was used in the first Bitcoin exchange in 2009, it will be several years before we should expect any kind of widespread application.

One of the primary concerns will be ensuring security in blockchain technology to build broader confidence in the platform. Even if blockchain is already more secure than traditional payments, skeptics will jump on any opportunity to critique the distributed ledger. It will take time to build confidence in such a new and revolutionary idea, and any incident will be a larger setback than it would be for traditional payments.

Blockchain will need to be standardized and secured before the technology will enjoy widespread adoption. However, I anticipate that by 2020, we will already start to see blockchain making a considerable impact on financial services.

It’s difficult to predict exactly how blockchain will change the game, but it would be wise to start making plans now with the knowledge that the industry will see a dramatic shakeup soon.

Monica Eaton-Cardone is the CIO of GRT, as well as its U.S. subsidiaries Chargebacks911 and eConsumerServices. She is also the COO of Chargebacks911.

Lead photo credit: WoodyUpstate/GettyImages; image of Eaton-Cardone courtesy of GRT

Morning Coffee: 2017 could be good for investment banks, but for a bad reason. The problem with Deutsche Bank’s hiring freeze

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2017 could provide a respite for traders in investment banks’ fixed income currencies and commodities divisions and, more pressingly, those in down-trodden equities teams.

FICC revenues are likely increase by 10% in 2017, after years of revenue declines, and by equities by 6%, according to Barclays analysts featured in Financial News.

But while this is good news for volumes in investment banks, it’s not exactly great for the world at large. Barclays’ analysts cite the “politics of rage” as one of the reasons for the increase – think Brexit, Trump and a host of elections across Europe in 2017.

“Trading and hedging have been boosted by the return of rates and the politics of rage, with associated swings in the outlook for inflation, growth, and fiscal balances around the world,” they wrote.

Separately, Peter Hazlewood, the head of Deutsche Bank’s financial crime fighting unit – and surely one of the busiest men in the whole organisation – has quit after just six months in the job.

Deutsche Bank has a hiring freeze on – except for critical hires in areas like compliance – but even here it there’s a limit.

Hazlewood wanted to hire more than 600 people to bulk up its financial crimes division, according to the WSJ. Senior management approved 400 new recruits – which would bring the total employed in the division to 1,160 – and this supposedly created some tensions.

Still, the Journal also reports that some senior executives at Deutsche – including chief regulatory officer Sylvie Matherat – were not happy with elements of his management style.

Meanwhile:

Hedge funds want to hire compliance staff from investment banks (Financial News)

Meet the UK’s new Brexit negotiator (Bloomberg)

Regulatory lawyer Jay Clayton will run the SEC (Bloomberg)

Hedge funds are more about risk aversion these days (WSJ)

Credit Suisse has attempted to block the recruitment of eight senior bankers by Jefferies (Reuters)

The former head of emerging markets FX trading at Barclays admitted price fixing (Bloomberg)

“People in the City tend to be driven and part of drive comes from the need to achieve in order to feel OK. That’s usually to do with an underlying anxiety” (Financial News)

Robey Warshaw has 15 employees, and made £43.4m ($53m) (Reuters)

Can Blockchain deliver in 2017? (Financial News)

Goldman thinks there’s little chance of a soft Brexit (Business Insider)

Forget the January detox – these are best places for power lunches in London (Politico)

Maybe banks’ tactics of promoting top performers works – if employees think their boss can do their job, they’re happier (HBR)

Contact: pclarke@efinancialcareers.com

Photo: Getty Images

The former head of structured finance at Goldman Sachs has moved to the buy-side

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The former head of structured finance at Goldman Sachs, who was latterly a managing director at Lloyds Banking Group, has just moved across to a real estate asset management role.

Ben Green, who was latterly a managing director heading up a team providing corporate finance and structured finance advice to clients across real estate and infrastructure at Lloyds, has just taken a role as principal at alternative investment advisor Atrato Capital.There he will be structuring and investing in real estate deals.

Green was previously head of the European structured finance group at Goldman Sachs, but left in September 2013 after more than six years to join Lloyds Banking Group. He was responsible for real estate, asset backed securities (ABS), infrastructure, utilities and energy finance for EMEA during his time at Goldman Sachs. He joined the bank in 2007 from Barclays.

Contact: pclarke@efinancialcareers.com

How to make managing director in investment banking

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The career paths of investment bankers have become decidedly wonkier. The move to managing director was once an annual formality for top performers, but now that the glory days are over and ‘reputational issues’ abound, making it to the top is now a more nuanced affair.

There are queues of VPs and directors/executive directors who never make it to MD. For a start, there are fewer opportunities – at its peak in 2010, Goldman Sachs promoted 321 managing directors. Now, it’s switched to a bi-annual promotion cycle and last time around in 2015 around 425 people (or 212.5 a year) made the cut. Jefferies has just unveiled its its MDs for 2016 and just 28 made the cut – almost half that of last year. Credit Suisse promoted 180 people across all business lines late last year.

“The number of MD promotions has fallen dramatically,” says Graham Ward, the former head of equities at Goldman Sachs and now adjunct professor of leadership at INSEAD. “MD is once again something to aspire to and has become special.”

Special or not, managing director is a tough grade to make, and a tough role to remain in. “It doesn’t ease off, it goes the other way,” Randall Dillard, the former head of investment banking at Nomura said previously. “Managing directors in investment banking last around 18 months. Most people simply cannot handle the amounts of revenue they are expected to generate year after year.”

The selection process at most banks remains a mystery. “It’s an arcane affair,” says a former vice president at Goldman Sachs. “MDs are chosen behind closed doors; no one really knows how the process works.”

Nonetheless, based on conversations with bankers who have gone through the process, this is what it takes to be make it to MD now.

1. You must be considered ‘MD material’

Getting earmarked as a potential MD happens relatively early in your career. VPs who excel in their annual assessments are nominated as managing director material by the MD in charge of their team.

David Charters, a former managing director in equity capital markets at Deutsche Bank says the luckiest VPs are nominated within just two years: “Everything needs to go according to plan: deals come in, you get to work with big producers and they are big enough to credit you with your contribution.”

More commonly, candidates are deemed MD-material after three or four years.

2. You must walk and talk the values of the company

Depending on your perspective, the notion of an individual investment banks’ culture is either corporate guff or a mantra to live by. These days, if you want to make it to MD, you really need to toe the corporate line and embody the values of the company, says Ziad Awad, a former Goldman Sachs and Bank of America Merrill Lynch MD who now runs boutique bank Awad Capital.

“You need to espouse the strategic vision of the senior management,” he says.

“If you are a cultural misfit, you will not make it,” agrees Ward.

3. You must have supporters across the organisation

Assuming you gain a nomination, the next stage is a lengthy debate about your suitability for the role. Team leaders present nominations to a group of MDs, which then assembles a short-list of the most exceptional candidates. They’ll then consider the individuals on this list on a case-by-case basis.

Then there’s the ‘cross-ruffing’ – as it’s called at Goldman Sachs – where the firm will “canvass the opinions of managing directors and partners across the department”, according to the Goldman insider.

Once names have been thoroughly debated, or cross-ruffed, and the cream of the crop selected, a shortlist is typically presented to dignitaries higher up the rungs at the bank. At UBS, members of the investment banking board review candidates’ suitability. “The chairman is briefed on who is who and approves their promotion or not,” says one banker. This is largely a formality – candidates are rarely rejected at this stage.

4. You must demonstrate leadership skills

Awad says that any viable candidate for managing director will be “already performing at MD level”. This means that your numbers will match top performing senior staff, but also that you’re able to show that you can lead a team. Good MDs are good managers, able to demonstrate that they’re “a great team leader and motivator”, says Ward, and that they’re not the sort of sadistic individual that takes delight in torturing juniors, particularly now that analysts have more power.

“You leadership skills should be admired by both peers and juniors,” says Awad.

5. You must demonstrate consistency

Viewing the MD promotions as an annual cycle whereby you must impress as the time draws near will get you nowhere. Awad describes it as a “marketing job”, presenting yourself well both internally and externally over the course of your career. Internally, in that you will have cultivated friendships and professional relationships across the organisation over a number of years. Externally in that your client relationships are deep enough to ensure that your revenues are generally consistent, rather than a flash in the pan.

“You need years of a consistently strong track record, both in terms of performance and in adhering to common values,” says one former J.P. Morgan MD.

6.You should be young, especially if you’re in trading

If revenues are not the be all and end all for investment bankers trying to make MD, they’re still incredibly important if you’re working on the trading floor. At Goldman Sachs in 2015, an increasing proportion of new managing directors had yet to hit their 30th birthday. They all worked in trading.

If you’re a trader bringing in the money for your employer, they will want to keep you and competitors will be making efforts to poach you. It just so happens that trading is a business area where young men tend to thrive and so banks tend to speed up the promotion process. As one J.P. Morgan banker puts it: “We’re always worried that mid-level traders will be targeted. Promotion is a retention tool.”

7. You need to get lucky

Ultimately, it’s about ticking all the boxes above and hoping that the stars align, says Ward. “In the end there is an element of subjectivity to the processes which are largely arcane. Make sure you are well connected, politically savvy, transparent and a great producer. After that it’s in the lap of the Gods,” he says.

What if you don’t make MD? There’s always next year. Candidates typically get two shots at promotion after graduating to the short list. But if you don’t make it twice in a row, your chances are severely depleted.

The alternative is to move across to another firm entirely on the promise of a more senior role. This is difficult – given the need for internal cheerleaders – but not impossible.

Last year, Alok Modi, the head of government bond and CDS trading at Morgan Stanley, was promoted to MD after just one year at the firm. He joined in 2014 from Barclays, where he was a director.

Additional reporting by Sarah Butcher.

Photo:Getty Images

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Bankers, your bonus is likely to be 10% smaller than it was last year

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Most people in the financial services industry should find out how much their bonus will be either this month or next. Will industry professionals be celebrating, cursing and looking for a new, higher-paying job or shrugging their shoulders and saying ‘meh’?

For the 2016 bonus season, recruiting firm Options Group forecasts total compensation for U.S. mergers-and-acquisitions (M&A) investment bankers to decline an average of 10% year-over-year, debt capital markets (DCM) to be flat or unchanged, and equity capital markets (ECM) to decline an average of 15%.

In comparison, compensation consulting firm Johnson Associates predicts that financial services bonuses will be down compared to 2015 pretty much across the board, with bankers’ bonuses down 10% year-over-year, asset management bonuses down between 5% and 10% for the second year in a row and hedge fund managers’ bonuses down 10% to 15% compared to the previous year. Private equity bonuses are expected to be flat.

Bonuses are likely to be flat or down across Wall Street

Alan Johnson, the CEO of Johnson Associates, predicts that financial services bonuses will be down across the board: PE flat, long-only asset management down 5% or 10%, banks down 10% and hedge funds down 10% to 15%.

“For the banks it’s been a trail of tears since the financial crisis, whereas asset management firms were doing great, but are now experiencing fee pressures,” Johnson said. “Bonuses will be down generally, which is surprising given the stock market rally and the Trump boost, but fee pressures and competition has held compensation in check.

“In 2017, banks will start to rebound – with some of the onerous regulations rolled back, maybe the banks will start to do better, which would be good for everybody,” he said. “A leading indicator of that is their stocks have done particularly well since the election, meaning the markets believe that this will be a positive change for the banks.

“Unfortunately I think asset management will be down again due to fee pressures and so much competition in the marketplace from index funds and ETFs.”

This will be a critical year for hedge funds, as their performance has been down three years in a row.

“Most hedge funds have extremely talented people who are well paid, but for their pay to increase meaningfully, they are going to have to do better on behalf of clients, who have been disgruntled,” he said.

Johnson compares the distribution of pay at many financial services firms, including investment banks, to an hour glass.

“You’ve got incredibly smart people at the bottom that are relatively cheap, and you’ve got people at the top that you need to interact with clients, but they’ve been skinny in the middle,” Johnson said. “You have to pay the people who are young and hard working, because they have other options, such as technology companies – banks don’t pay dramatically more than other firms, so they’re trying to change their culture and stop some of the busy work.”

Investment banking compensation

Mike Karp, the CEO of Options Group, said ECM bankers in particular are likely to be given smaller bonuses. It has been a tough year in the sector – the $724.2bn in deals was the lowest volume since 2012, according to Dealogic, North America held up better than most locations, but volumes were still down 16% year on year.

“It has not been a robust market – due to Brexit and other factors, things have been rocky, hence low ECM volumes and declining compensation,” Karp said.

However, Karp believes the situation is better for M&A bankers

“For bulge-bracket banks, their investment banking pipeline was just delayed a few quarters – it’s not going away, so there’s an inability to adjust headcount in anticipation of activity that has been pushed back, and many banks may increase hiring activity at the seams for this year,” he said.

M&A was weak in the first two quarters of last year, and while it did come around eventually as investment banks refocused their activity on deal flow, execution and recruiting starting in the third quarter, 2016 was not a rip-roaring year overall. In the U.S. M&A volumes were $1,722.5bn last year, a 21% decline on 2015

“I’m thinking 2017 might be a little bit better – the first two quarters [of 2016] weren’t helpful in M&A activity, as very few deals got done, whereas 2015 was a pretty phenomenal year,” Karp said.

Photo credit: hocus-focus/GettyImages
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Meet the 30 year-old woman striking fear into a generation of Goldman bankers

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If you work for Goldman Sachs in a sales capacity and intend to continue doing so come 2020, you need to fast familiarize yourself with a brilliant female VP who is coming for your job: Siri Scanlon Appel. Scanlon Appel is on a mission, and if she succeeds Goldman’s salesforce could go some of the way of its equity traders, whose numbers have reportedly declined from 600 in 2000 to just two today. 

Scanlon Appel has worked for Goldman since 2006, when she joined its portfolio trading division after graduating from Georgetown University. Between 2014 and 2016, she completed a Columbia MBA alongside her Goldman day job. That MBA is now complete, allowing Scanlon Appel to focus fully on the task at hand at GS: developing and commercializing Goldman’s Marquee product and selling it to clients.

Officially, Scanlon Appel’s role is ‘Marquee head of sales and client development.’ This matters, because Marquee is the big strategic initiative at Goldman Sachs right now. It’s is the contentious product-baby of Marty Chavez, Goldman’s current CIO who’s becoming CFO as of April 2017.  Under Marquee, Goldman is making its previously highly guarded SecDB risk exposure system directly available to clients. As head of Marquee sales and client development, it’s up to Scanlon to encourage clients to engage with SecDB directly – rather than relying upon the current army of Goldman salespeople to parse its findings for them.

Goldman hasn’t said as much, but if Marquee takes off as planned, it seems likely that quite a few of Goldman’s current salespeople could be surplus to requirement. Most banks are already looking to pare back their sales desks this year by refocusing their attention on their most profitable clients – Barclays, for example, is telling 7,000 of its marginal clients to find another broker to do business with. It’s no coincidence that many of the senior bankers to leave Goldman in 2016 were salespeople.

Scanlon Appel wasn’t made MD in the most recent round of promotions last November – but if she succeeds, she’ll almost certainly be elevated by Chavez in 2018. Scanlon Appel is well-connected both inside and outside the firm: her husband Alexander Appel is a senior associate at the Carlyle Group (along with Lloyd Blankfein’s son, Alex). You can see her at New York social events here.  


Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com

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Morning Coffee: J.P. Morgan humble brags over competitors. The MF Global mess finally comes to a close

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While some banks posted disappointing results last year, J.P. Morgan wasn’t one of them. Looking at Wall Street deal-making revenue, it earned the most in fees in global investment banking, U.S. investment banking and investment banking in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. Other categories in which J.P. Morgan finished the year on top of the revenue table include debt capital markets, equity capital markets and syndicated loans, according to Dealogic.

Viswas Raghavan, J.P. Morgan’s London-based head of banking for EMEA, was quick to mention to Financial News that it was only the fourth time in twenty years that the top ranking bank in EMEA has led the fee league table by more than a percentage point of market share. While that could be interpreted as trolling his competitors, he did say that the bank’s lead will be difficult to hold on to, citing the “extremely competitive banking market.”

J.P Morgan rose from second place in the EMEA revenue rankings for M&A and equity capital markets in 2015 to first in both products last year, and jumped from third place to first in syndicated loans fees.

Raghavan had been concerned about tough macroeconomic conditions heading into 2016, which he said made J.P. Morgan’s ability to pick up business in a challenging market that much sweeter.

“The wallet itself is unlikely to grow, so the question for banks is how does your share [of wallet] evolve against an uncertain market backdrop?” Raghavan told FN. “To me, that measure of breaking away from the pack is key. The undercurrent is very much the shareholder-value-added and return-on-equity dynamics of our business rapidly changing and it’s no surprise that everyone is looking closely at their model….

“You want a three-legged stool to sit comfortably for any period of time. If you’re purely dependent on one product, like M&A or ECM or fixed income alone, it can place you at a disadvantage when markets change and investor sentiment follows. The environment will continue to be fickle so you need to be less myopic around short-term gains and more focused on client relationships and the longer-term.”

Separately, Jon Corzine, the former New Jersey senator, governor and Goldman Sachs CEO, ran MF Global when it imploded in 2011 and lost more than $1bn in customer money. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission subsequently sued him for failing to “diligently supervise” the firm as it allegedly misused customer money to plug holes in MF Global’s own accounts, including an overdraft from its J.P. Morgan Chase account.

The disappearance of the money from MF Global unnerved the futures industry and raised broader concerns about the safety of customer funds across Wall Street, according to the New York Times.

Almost six years later, the case is finally closed. Corzine must pay $5m out of his own pocket (rather than being covered by insurance) as part of the settlement agreement with the CFTC. The regulator also imposed a lifetime ban from the futures industry on Corzine, although he can still trade other types of securities.

Meanwhile:

Big winners from last year – executives from SkyBridge Capital, Parnassus Investments and Goldman Sachs – offer insights into how they did it and what they expect in 2017. (New York Times)

President-elect Donald Trump’s debts are held by Wall Street banks, mutual funds and other financial institutions, posing potential conflicts of interest for the incoming administration. (WSJ)

Trump and his chief strategist, Steve Bannon, are still opposed to the mega-merger between AT&T and Time Warner. (Bloomberg)

Occupy Wall Street redux? About 40 protesters entered the lobby of Goldman Sachs’s New York headquarters waving signs and yelling and were allegedly ejected physically. (Bloomberg)

Deutsche Bank tapped compliance executive Philippe Vollot to become the global head of financial crime-fighting, replacing Peter Hazlewood, who is getting phased out after just six months on the job. (WSJ)

Ed Budd, the chief digital officer in the global transaction banking division at Deutsche Bank, runs a farm during the weekend (Financial News)

To woo JPMorgan, France is going to have to make a banking career as terrifyingly tenuous in Paris as it is in London. (Dealbreaker)

U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May sent her two most senior aides on a secret trip to the U.S. in an attempt to thaw her administration’s icy relationship with Trump. (Bloomberg)

Why do human fund managers still exist in the age of automation? Unfortunately, there is very little economic rationale for their existence. (TheStreet)

Crispin Odey’s overly bearish main hedge fund sank 49.5% last year, the worst annual decline since it began trading in 1992. (Bloomberg)

Blackstone is betting big on music. (New York Times)

A senior Barclays executive has been called in for questioning in a Libor probe. (FT)

This laundry list of black-swan threats is keeping Barclays analysts up at night. (Bloomberg)

Women perceived to have “resting bitch face,” or RBF, tend to have strong communication skills that will help them rise to the top. (Quartz)

As the world’s best business schools get more selective, would you make the cut? (World Economic Forum)

Believing in predictions allows people to overlook their own ignorance, discount the role of randomness and generally overestimate their own skills, creating a comforting illusion. (Bloomberg)

Photo credit: JoeDunckley/GettyImages

Ex-M&A banker gets amazing investment job, lasts 15 months

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If you thought the buy-side was a cosier place to work than the sell-side, you were wrong. All indications are that asset managers need to cut costs just as badly as investment banks. What were once jobs for life are now exposed to the same hostile forces as jobs on the trading floor.

This might be why Vidur Bahree, group investment director at Aviva, the insurance, savings and investments company, has left after just 15 months. Aviva declined to comment on the exit and Bahree may have left entirely voluntarily, but insiders say Aviva has reorganised its investment function and Martin Muir, a former Goldman Sachs MD and head of Aviva’s group capital division and asset liability management, has assumed Bahree’s responsibilities.

Bahree’s next move is unclear. Originally an M&A and corporate finance banker at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein, he quit the sell-side in 2005 and has had a succession of investment jobs relating to the insurance industry. Before joining Aviva in November 2015, he spent nearly five years at The Phoenix Group, an insurance provider, as head of capital strategy and financial management.

Aviva has been busy cutting costs since at least 2012 and is expected to continue doing so in 2017. There are no safe places in financial services, and senior investment positions in the insurance sector appear to be no exception.


Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com


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Photo credit:anti-perfection protesters running away from perfection by paolobarzman is licensed under CC BY 2.0.

These are the top M&A boutiques. This is how much they pay

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Boutique investment banks have generally had a spectacular 2016. While the M&A fee pool has generally declined on a stellar 2015, boutiques have been grabbing a larger market share and profits have been on the up.

The good thing about working for a boutique investment bank is that they’re not (or at least, not yet) constrained by pay rules that prevent larger institutions from paying big bonuses. If boutiques have a good year, their staff benefit and very often it’s a small pool of people seeing big pay days.

But how much do boutiques pay really? It’s usually difficult to tell as most are partnerships and don’t make their accounts public. In the UK, however, they’re compelled to register regular accounts with Companies House. We looked at these and have listed the results below.

Robey Warshaw, average pay per head £520k ($640k):

Robey Warshaw’s profits swelled to £36.6m for the year ended 31 March 2016 – published this week – up from £19.4m in 2015. Despite this, the bank has just 11 employees (up from 9 last year) and 3 members in the UK. The member with the largest entitlement received a massive £18.1m – more than double that paid in 2015. The remaining employees shared £5.7m or £520k ($640k) per head, up from £370.5k ($456k) in 2015.

Zaoui & Co, average pay per head £411.3k ($506.2k):

Set up by brothers Michael and Yoel Zaoui in 2013, this advisory boutique has 13 employees in London, according to its latest accounts. It paid them an average of £411.3k ($506.2k) for the 12 months to 31 December 2015 and made an operating profit of £10.9m ($13.4m) for the period.

Evercore Partners, average pay per head £378.8k ($466.5k):

Evercore’s latest accounts are for the 12 months to 31 December 2015, and cover the UK LLP. It has 51 partners – up from 47 in 2014 – and five employees that fall outside of this, which is flat on 2014. It made an operating profit of £58.4m ($72m), up from £36.2m the previous year. Evercore paid its members £19.3m, or an average of £378.8k ($466.5k), an increase from £307.7k ($378.9k) in 2014.

Qatalyst Partners, average pay per head £353.5k ($437.8k):

This San Francisco headquartered tech-focused boutique has just six staff based in the UK, according to its latest accounts, and it paid them £2.1m ($2.6m) for the year to 31 December 2015, up from £1.3m in 2014. This works out as £353.5k ($437.8k) as an average per head. Headcount remained flat.

Centerview Partners, average pay per head £334k ($412k):

Centerview Partners had its best year in the UK since it set up in 2009, according to its latest accounts for the 12 months to 31 March 2016. It posted revenues of £40.8m ($50.2m), up from £26.3m in 2015. It’s been hiring – albeit in small numbers – with staff numbers up from 23 in 2015 to 27 last year. On an average pay per head basis, this is an average of £334k ($412k), which increased from £241.7k for the previous 12 months.

Houlihan Lokey, average pay per head £292.9k ($360k):

In the 12 months to March 2016, Houlihan Lokey had a good year in Europe. Pre tax profits were up to around £7m ($8.6m), from £5.1m in 2015. It’s also been hiring – the number of directors and other executives increased to 83 (from 78 in 2015) and it added six administrative staff over the year, to 43 people. Pay, however, has gone down. Overall, compensation costs were down 2%, but average pay per head slipped from £332.9k ($407k) in 2015, to £293.9k ($360k) in 2016.

Moelis & Co, average pay per head £307.8k ($378k):

Relatively speaking, Moelis & Co indulged in some big hiring in 2015 (the latest available figures), increasing headcount from 91 to 126 people. It paid them an average of £307.8k ($378k), up from £232k in 2014. This is more down to the fact that it converted some of its ‘A members’ – highly ranked members of the LLP – into employees at the beginning of 2015.

Perella Weinberg, average pay per head £288.8k ($355k):

Revenues at Perella Weinberg more than doubled to £50.1m ($61.6m) in 2015 (the latest available) in its UK limited partnership. It’s been hiring – headcount went from 73 people in 2014 to 86 last year. Average pay per head was £288.8k ($355k), up from £272k in 2014.

Greenhill & Co, average pay per head £111.6k ($138.3k):

Greenhill kept headcount flat in its UK operation for the 12 months to 31 December 2015 (again, the latest available figures). 49 people work in investment banking functions and 13 in administration. Across the group, it paid an average of £111.6k ($138.3k), which fell from £144.3k in 2014.

Contact: pclarke@efinancialcareers.com

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These analysts are quitting big investment banks for tiny private equity firms

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If you’re one of the 2-4% of applicants to secure an entry level job at a bulge bracket investment bank, would you leave less than two years into your career for a tiny boutique or private equity firm?

This is increasingly a trend among the relatively new recruits of big investment banks. The latest example is Daniel Yu, who was an investment banking analyst in J.P. Morgan’s TMT team in London. He’s just joined Goldacre Partners, a TMT-focused advisory firm, as a venture capitalist investment analyst.

Goldacre says that it offers insight “through its maverick style” and is offers a range of investment services in the TMT sector. It has just six employees in London.

Moving from investment banking into a buy-side role after a couple of years is a well-trodden career path, but analysts making the move this year have increasingly targeted investment roles in smaller firms.

Shuang Zheng, a second year analyst at J.P. Morgan in London, and Alessia Negri, a third your analyst on Morgan Stanley’s consumer and retail investment banking team, both joined ZZ Capital International in November. ZZ is building its investment management business but remains relatively tiny with just $210k revenues generated in the second quarter of 2016.

Jaroslav Valiukevic, a former Morgan Stanley analyst, joined small special situations private equity firm Novator Partners in October and Thomas Sineau, who worked as an analyst at Deutsche Bank, was hired by tech investment firm REV.

Contact: pclarke@efinancialcareers

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Where to work in banking in 2017, in charts

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Damn if feels good to be a banker, again. After all those years of torpor, things are changing for the better. 2017 will be great…etc. etc.

At least, this is what the banking analysts at Barclays think. They’ve reportedly issued a note suggesting that political events and economic variables will continue feeding the investment banking revenue beast in 2017. If all goes to plan, the coming 12 months should therefore be months of “upside” for banks and all who sail in them.

That’s the jolly version of 2017. Chirantan Barua, bankig analyst at Bernstein Research, isn’t approaching this year with quite such unfettered optimism, but he is mutedly hopeful. This is why…

1. Banking is back

Barua thinks the banking cycle is turning (for the better). After five quarters of negative year-on-year revenue growth, Barua suggests the third quarter of 2016 marked the start of something more positive. Banks are due to report their fourth quarter results at the end of this month. All indications are that the Q4 results will be positive too. Past experience suggests the upturn should last anything from seven to 18 quarters.

Revenue growth percentage

Source: Bernstein Research

2. But you might want to cash out of European bank stocks if you can

Barua is less positive about European than U.S. banks, however. As the chart below shows, most bank stocks have risen significant since the U.S. election in November. This is good news for anyone who holds stock issued in banking bonuses past, and is able to sell it. It’s less good news for everyone who’s about to receive stock-based bonuses at current high prices: if prices fall, so will 2016’s stock-based bonuses.

Barua thinks this is a particular risk for European banks like Barclays, UBS and Credit Suisse, which have been caught up in the post-election enthusiasm for finance stocks. This optimism surrounding U.S. banks looks less valid for the Europeans and he says they’re in particular danger of falling when reality reasserts itself.

Stock price

Source: Bernstein Research

3. It’s a good time to work in M&A: the cycle is turning for the better…

If banking analysts agree on one thing it’s this: M&A will be big in 2017.

Like investment banking revenues as a whole, M&A revenues are ripe for turning. Barua predicts that dealmaking will pick up in 2017 as cash is repatriated to the U.S. and corporates there look to put it to use. Deutsche’s researchers were equally bullish in a note before Christmas, predicting that purchasing opportunities will crop up as returns widen: “For too many years poor quality companies have been disproportionally expensive and good ones not expensive enough. This has stymied the mergers and acquisitions market because it makes the numbers harder to add up.”

M&A cycle

Source: Bernstein Research

4. It’s a bad time to work in DCM: the cycle is turning for the worse…

If M&A bankers are in for a fine year, debt capital markets bankers are not. Barua thinks DCM revenues are about to come off their peak.

The simple reason for this is widening credit spreads. As J.P. Morgan’s analysts pointed out in December, widening credit spreads are typically bad news for riskier “yield” products, demand for which typically falls as their prices fall and yields rise. This makes investors jittery when it comes to buying new bonds – especially in the high yield market.

Barua says strong DCM revenues in 2016 were symptomatic of issuers’ rush to refinance existing debt before spreads widen. Now that this refinancing has already happened, 2017 could be a bit bleak in DCM divisions.

DCM on way down

5. It’s a good time to work in U.S. equities, less so in Asia and Europe

How about equities? J.P. Morgan’s analysts are predicting good things in cash equities – especially when electronic cash equities are added in. Their December predictions were for a 4% increase in cash equities revenues this year, after an expected 17% decrease in 2016.

In fact, 2016 may not have been that much of a bad year for cash equities. The Wall Street Journal says last year’s stock trading volumes were the highest since 2011.  Whether this plays into universally high cash equities revenues in 2017 is open to question, however. Barua says the strength of equities revenues in 2017 will depend upon “portfolio churn” and this has so far proved higher in the U.S. than in Asia or Europe.

Equities revenues US

6. It’s probably going to be a bad year to work in credit

While equities trading (probably) picks up, credit trading will (probably) slowdown for the reasons given above (ie. widening spreads).

7. In light of its recent performance, 2017 might be a stressful year to work in Deutsche Bank’s M&A business

Lastly, at the start of 2017 it’s worth casting an eye over the chart below from Thomson Reuters. Charting the changes in M&A rankings by bank over the past decade, it reflects the consistent strength of Goldman Sachs compared to the oscillating fortunes of other banks (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) and the recent dire performance of Deutsche Bank. Deutsche has consistently slipped down the rankings since 2012.  The second chart below (from Dealogic) suggests the Deutsche rout extends to ECM and DCM too. 2017 could see Deutsche confront some awkward truths.

Global M&A rankings over the past decade:

M&A rankings Deutsche

Source: Thomson Reuters

Dealogic DB

Source: Dealogic


Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com

Photo credit: Death Valley Compass by Kolby is licensed under CC BY 2.0.

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How to stay married when you work in banking

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It’s divorce season. As any press officer for any marital law firm will tell you, January is when marriages sadly come unraveled after the stress of Christmas. People in banking and finance are no more likely to get divorced than others (divorce is most prevalent among dancers and choreographers, bartenders, and massage therapists), but banking jobs do involve particular stressors in the form of the notoriously long working hours and demanding roles.

Now, a new study by academics at the Western Carolina University, published in the Journal of Occupational and Organizational Psychology  addresses the issue of how to stay married when you have a stressful job and are part of a dual working household. The answer is simple: if you don’t want work stresses to overflow into your marriage, you need to be politically astute at work.

The academics studied 278 couples. The women were aged 44 on average, the men aged 48. Both worked full time.

For each gender, the academics found that the satisfaction of the spouse was directly related to the other spouse’s “political skills” in the workplace. Political skills were defined as the ability to, “build diverse social networks and leverage them within the organization,” as well as a facility for “apparent sincerity” (‘the ability to appear genuine and sincere despite your inward feelings’). – In other words, being able to get colleagues to do what you want.

When it came to preventing work stresses overflowing into their marriages, the researchers found that men and women used these skills to different ends. Men used them to offset “role overload,” or having too much to do and insufficient time in which to do it. Women used them to offset, “role conflict”, or being asked to do incompatible things by different people. When each partner applied their political skills to this gender-specific category of job stress, the spouse was happier. Wives were especially happy when they had politically astute husbands who used their charms in the workplace to avoid being fraught and overworked in the home.

The couples in question weren’t bankers and spousal satisfaction has also been found to be positively correlated to income, so it could be argued that 40-something bankers can assuage spousal gripes simple by spending on weekend treats. Then again, why risk it? If you can keep a marriage steady simply by building networks with your colleagues, life is likely to be a lot easier – and cheaper.


Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com

Photo credit:Married! by RobertG NL is licensed under CC BY 2.0.

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Morning Coffee: The 2017 pre-bonus job cuts have begun and they’re happening here. Why firms reject you unfairly

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When banks announced bonuses at Christmas, any extra staff were dismissed in December. Now that bonuses are announced in January, surplus staff are dismissed early in the New Year. Now is the time when the pink slips fly.

Last week, Morgan Stanley became the first bank to pull the trigger on 2017 pre-bonus layoffs. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. bank “terminated salespeople and traders” as part of its annual performance review process. It’s not yet clear how many people have gone, or who they are, but it’s clear that some of the Morgan Stanley staff who thought they’d be picking up their bonuses at the end of this month won’t be picking them up after all.

The rationale for the cuts is perfectly clear. Morgan Stanley’s equities sales and trading division saw revenues decline 6% in the first nine months of last year compared to the same period of 2015, and the bank has reportedly cut the equities bonus pool by 4% in response. The fewer people who have a claim on the diminished pool, the more there’ll be to go around.

Morgan Stanley isn’t the only bank cutting bonuses for its equities staff. Bloomberg reports that Bank of America is doing much the same, in cutting its equities bonus pool by 5%. However, this won’t be sufficient to offset the 12% decline in equities revenues at BofA during the first nine months of 2016, as shown in the chart below. Moreover, if Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are cutting bonuses (and staff) in equities, what does this say about the prospects for equities divisions in European banks like Barclays?

Separately, you don’t want to apply for a prestigious job if you’re perceived to be a lower class male. This is the conclusion of the latest research by academic Lauren Rivera, previously known for her detailed studies into elite hiring patterns at U.S. investment banks and consulting firms.  

Rivera’s most recent target was large law firms. After creating four fake student identities (a lower class man and woman and an upper class man and woman) based around surnames (Clark/Cabot) and leisure activities (polo/soccer) and applying for law firm traineeships, Rivera discovered that upper class men are far more likely to be called in for interview. As the chart below shows, 16.25% of the candidates perceived to be upper class males in Rivera’s test were called for interviews, compared to just 1.28% of candidates perceived to be lower class men.

Curiously, law firms were more willing to interview women perceived as lower class than those perceived as upper class. The comments law firms made to Rivera suggested that this was because upper class women were expected to become stay-at-home mothers, while lower class women were considered harder workers and expected to continue working (hard) even after motherhood.

Interviews by class

Meanwhile:

12 20-somethings in hedge funds who will highlight all your inadequacies. (Business Insider) 

Hedge fund wunderkind thinks liberal arts majors are the best hires: “Students of history and literature are more trained to understand the existence of multiple perspectives and to engage with them, and so can often more accurately understand the human dynamics that drive stock market flows.” (Business Insider) 

Good luck joining a start-up hedge fund: launches are at their lowest level since 2008. (Financial Times) 

A Barclays analyst thinks Credit Suisse shares will rise by 13% from this point. (Barrons) 

Donald Trump needs to be nice to Wells Fargo. JPMorgan Chase. Fidelity Investments. Prudential PLC. Vanguard Group: they all own his debts. (Atlantic) 

Britain’s intelligence agency, GCHQ is hiring (again). (IB Times) 

Reasons to move to Milan: “Multinational executives from top banks relocating to Milan will get 50% of their salary tax free for five years.” (Financial News)

We’re emerging from the largest bond bull market in all of history. That doesn’t bode well for what comes next. (Bank Underground) 

The most disappointing people under 30: ‘After a month at a Zen silent-meditation retreat, Heller went back to his job at Goldman Sachs as a commodities trader in oil and gas.’ (New Yorker)


Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com


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Morgan Stanley lures KPMG partner back to senior investment banking job

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Richard Gostling, a partner within KPMG’s corporate finance team who moved across to the Big Four firm in 2014 after 20 years in investment banking, has just taken a senior job at Morgan Stanley.

Gostling has moved to head of EMEA business services in Morgan Stanley’s investment banking team. The team, which focuses on deals in industries such as catering, security, engineering and facilities management, is comparatively new, having been set up around two years ago.

Gostling’s career is a history of oscillating between banking and the big four accounting firm. He began his career at KPMG and qualified as an accountant there in 1992. He then switched into banking and worked at UBS for over ten years. Before moving to KPMG in 2014, he worked for Goldman Sachs as a managing director and head of business services.

At Morgan Stanley, Gostling is filling a role left vacant since February 2016 when Dana Weinstein, former head of the EMEA business services investment banking team, quit for J.P. Morgan.

Moving to a Big Four accounting firm was the thing to do at the time Gostling joined KPMG in 2014. Big Four firms had been making a big push to bolster their corporate finance divisions, and senior bankers have been persuaded across. As well as Gostling, KPMG hired James Agnew, chairman of corporate broking at Deutsche Bank, as a senior member of its capital advisory group in October 2014.

More recently, things have taken a turn for the worse. EY has been making cuts to its corporate finance team. However, the some of the Big Four are still hiring. – Trip Wolfe, a 20-year investment banking veteran who latterly led Citigroup’s venture capital advisory business, joined PwC as head of its U.S. technology, media and telecommunications. Paul Staples, who was a senior managing director in the European investment banking division of BNP Paribas, joined Deloitte as a partner in June last year. Meanwhile, James Agnew, the former chairman of corporate broking at Deutsche Bank, joined KPMG.

Contact: pclarke@efinancialcareers.com

Photo: Getty Images

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Deutsche Bank says it’s now safe to work for Barclays’ IB

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Deutsche Bank and Barclays have plenty of similarities. Both are rooted in their respective European home countries, both have investment banks historically skewed towards fixed income trading, both appointed new CEOs in the second half of 2015, both have latterly engaged in hiring freezes. While Deutsche, however, struggles to penetrate the fast-growing U.S. market, Barclays is very well ensconced in the Americas thanks to its 2008 acquisition of Lehman Brothers. And, after years of cost cutting, Deutsche’s banking analysts now consider Barclays well placed to face the future.

Barclays’ investment bank stands to benefit from the falling pound 

With the pound at a two month low this morning following intimations from the British government that the country won’t seek membership of the single market when it leaves the EU, Barclays’ investment bank should benefit from currency changes in 2017.

Barclays reports in sterling, but around 60% of its investment banking revenues are earned in U.S. dollars – meaning that as the dollar rises against the pound, the bank automatically benefits. Even if the pound remains flat at current levels against the dollar, Deutsche’s analysts say “tailwinds” from dollar-denominated revenues should continue to benefit Barclays in year-on-year comparisons. In the first and second quarters of 2017, Deutsche’s analysts are therefore predicting a 16% to 17% increase in Barclays’ sterling denominated revenues even if the bank’s actual dollar revenues are flat. For the full year, they’re predicting that this exchange rate effect will lead to a revenue increase of 10%.

In other words, Barclays’ investment bank is almost certain to have an excellent 2017.

At some point, these exchange rate effects could turn negative. Barclays’ FX strategists are forecasting a weakening in the U.S. dollar between 2018 and 2020 and this could prove a drag on Barclays’ revenues if and when it happens. That, however, is in the future.

Barclays’ investment bank is building momentum, gaining market share 

While Deutsche’s investment bank is losing traction, Barclays’ investment bank (ie. its M&A, ECM and DCM operations) are gathering momentum.

Deutsche’s analysts point out that Barclays gained market share in M&A and equity capital markets (ECM) last year and that gains are expected to continue in 2017.

Deutsche on Barclays

Source: Deutsche analysts 

Cost cutting in the investment bank could be tapering 

Barclays is still cutting costs in its investment bank. At the end of 2016, it revealed a decision to cut 5,000 desks or 25% of London office space, a move which compounded existing worries about Brexit among the bank’s UK staff.

However, in the third quarter conference call Staley also indicated that the £400m of restructuring costs pencilled in for 2016 should fall away in 2017, suggesting major restructuring work at the bank should be over.

Deutsche’s analysts point out that costs in Barclays’ investment bank should fall automatically this year as previous years’ deferred bonuses exert less of an overhang on costs. Bonuses at Barclays are typically deferred over a three year period, and deferrals at Barclays have fallen considerably since 2013.

Deferred bonus cost overhang

Source: Deutsche analysts 

If costs at Barclays are to be cut anywhere, they should be cut in the UK business, excluding the investment bank

If Barclays’ investment bank is done with cost cutting. the same can’t be said of the bank’s UK retail and commercial business. As Deutsche’s analysts point out, costs have fallen 14% in Barclays’ investment bank since 2014. In the UK operation, however, costs have only fallen by 3%.

If costs are to be cut anywhere at Barclays in 2017, it’s therefore, surely in the UK retail and commercial business. Temporary staff in these businesses look especially dispensable.

By comparison, if Deutsche’s right then Barclays’ investment bank looks like a good bet. Now could be the time to join Tim Throsby and Jes Staley at one of the growth stories of 2017.

Deutsche Barclays cost


Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com
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Photo credit: Desert Island by robmcm is licensed under CC BY 2.0.

Four principles to prevent your dream job from becoming a nightmare

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Do not do as I did, but rather, do as I say, because what I did burned my career to the ground, while what I say is from the mouth of the proverbial Phoenix risen from the ashes.

Now, the smell of ash that follows me around is not from my career as a corporate banker. That, indeed, was rather successful. It’s what I did after my banking career that qualifies me to offer advice to those in an industry I once cherished.

Landing that first job – or the next promotion – in the financial services industry means that you have arrived…only at the beginning, or at a new beginning. Thinking otherwise causes burned flesh.

Before sharing the four principles, bear with me through this condensed recount of where it went wrong for me, because in that is advice on how it may go right for you.

In 1989, I resigned my position as a corporate banker in the City of London with National Westminster Bank, which, at the time, was the biggest bank in the world. I left behind this financially rewarding, upwardly mobile career with the yuppie lifestyle to pursue a childhood dream of owning my own business before the age of thirty. With my thirtieth birthday looming the following year, it was simply time.

I started a consulting business with high hopes, and it seemed as if my professional dreams were coming true. Not so fast. Eventually, despite my best efforts, the business failed. It was the first thing I had failed at so miserably. My ability to fully convey just how deeply I felt the grip of despair, losing everything, with nowhere to turn, is, quite frankly, lacking. Suffice it to say, one must choose to go on or give up. My choice was to go on.

And, so, here I am. Having turned failure into success, I’m occasionally asked to share how to avoid the inevitable landmines that everyone pursuing success must face.

Thus, we have the four principles:

Know your values

If you don’t stand for something, you’ll fall for anything. I was invited out to lunch during my first week as a banker. “What a kindly gesture,” I thought. The guy inviting me to lunch scarcely noticed my existence thereafter. On inquiring of another colleague what I may have done wrong, I was told: “Oh, nothing. He always takes newbies out to lunch to assess the threat to his ladder-climbing. You were obviously regarded as anything but!”

It may have been tempting to play the same game had I not clearly understood who I was and what I stood for.

Come to play the game with a plan in place

At the very least, your plan must include:

  1. The end game. Do you have to end up as SFO SVP or CEO – or haven’t you given it consideration? Financial services careers can be stressful. Those with a clarity of purpose suffer it best, regardless of whether they achieve their ultimate objective.
  2. What’s your timeframe? Don’t be too hard and fast with this. Use it as a guide for measurement of whether you’re on track.
  3. Your family. Usually one might ask, “How are you going to integrate your career into your family life?” A successful financial services career often demands that you integrate your family life into your career. Know how you intend to achieve this, or if you even want to try. It is not an easy balancing act.
  4. Do a lot of due diligence before embarking on a particular career path, taking a promotion or switching firms. Is it really the best fit for you (and your family)?

Keep the vision of your desired career path

There will be ups and downs. Treat every failure as a:

Fruitful

And

Informative

Lesson

Urging

Renewed

Effort

When things veer off-course, remember that the Apollo moon rockets were off-course 97% of the time. Use your vision and your plan as your guidance system. Pick yourself up, brush yourself off and continue the fight.

Remember, givers gain

“Givers gain” is the motto of Business Networking International (BNI). It is founded upon Ralph Waldo Emerson’s Law of Compensation, which states that each person is compensated in like manner to that which he or she has contributed. This, of course, is itself a restatement of the Law of Sowing and Reaping.

Within our context here, a giver is someone that puts the customers’ and organization’s needs before his or her own; goes the extra mile without the need of recognition for doing so; and does the right thing, because it’s the right thing to do.

Needless to say, these aren’t the only principles that will serve you in your pursuit of a great career, but they will provide a platform for achieving sweet dreams, as well as an avenue for avoiding your worst nightmares.

Lennox Cornwall is a former City of London banker at National Westminster (NatWest) Bank and the author of the book Embracing Failure: Your Key to Success.  

Photo credit: Michael Blann_GettyImages
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Ex-equities head at UBS in NYC finds hedge fund job in London

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If you work in equities, you’re going to feel precarious right now. That’s ok. If you lose your equities job at, say, Morgan Stanley, you could soon find an entirely new one in a different continent on the buy-side.

Take James Rose from UBS as an example. He left UBS’s U.S. office in September 2016 and has now revealed that he joined quantitative hedge fund GSA Capital in November. At UBS he was head of European equity sales in New York. At GSA, he’s a portfolio manager.

It’s not clear whether Rose lost his job unintentionally at the Swiss bank (he may have gone entirely voluntarily). Either way, his move is an impressive achievement given that most job gyrations are supposed to involve either a change of role or a change of continent, rather than both.

Rose’s new role should also provide succour to all equities salesmen who fear being displaced by electronic trading systems and ‘low touch’ customer service staff in future.  Who cares if you lose a job as the head of sales in an investment bank, when you can get a new one as a portfolio manager in a hedge fund?

Rose spent nearly seven and a half years at UBS. Before that, he spent seven years at Citi.


Contact: sbutcher@efinancialcareers.com


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Photo credit: UBS by ChristopherTitzer is licensed under CC BY 2.0.

How Point72’s highest-ranking woman worked her way up the ladder

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Rachel D’Antonio is a managing director, the treasurer and the head of broker relations at Point72 Asset Management and the highest-ranking woman at the firm. D’Antonio is responsible for overseeing the family office’s equity financing, managing its credit counterparty relationships and its contract negotiations across products and counterparties. She is the firm’s main liaison with big banks.

“I started my career at Point72 in operations, and then about a year and a half ago they asked me to take on the role of treasurer, which involves handling our financing activities, cash management and credit processes,” D’Antonio said. “In the beginning part of 2016, they asked me to take over broker relations as well.

“Most places don’t combine the two roles, but the biggest broker relationships we have are with the large banks, so that overlaps with my treasury responsibilities, as I’m their main point of contact,” she said.

D’Antonio has a liberal arts degree, which is obviously not a typical course of study to enter the financial services industry. However, she planned out her career path earlier than many students, even some who studied business, economics or mathematics.

“I grew up in [New York City], and my father was in finance – pretty early on I knew I liked numbers and problem solving,” D’Antonio said. “I did internships with banks, and while at one point I was an idealistic college student who thought the world is my oyster and there were other things I could do, but I always thought there would be an aspect of finance to whatever I did.

“I was pretty driven and focused in that sense,” she said. “My parents told me I had to have a job when I graduated, and so I made sure I had one – I joined J.P. Morgan soon after I graduated.”

Before she joined Point72, D’Antonio worked at J.P. Morgan for nine years as a vice president managing various middle-office product teams.

“J.P. Morgan definitely offered a great opportunity for me out of college – it was a structured environment with an excellent training program,” D’Antonio said. “I worked with people in my same age range right out of college and got exposure to a competitive working environment in a friendly way, so it was a positive experience.

D’Antonio joined Point72 in 2004 and six years later was appointed MD and ops chief.

“I like the idea of being able to get things done a bit quicker than you could do at a bank, for example, process changes,” D’Antonio said. “It’s a smaller organization, so getting to know people is much easier, and you’re able to navigate the organization much quicker.

“The level of accountability is higher – because it’s a smaller firm, you have to own the project you’re working on, and you have to understand every aspect of it, because there is no one to hand it off to,” she said.

Over the course of her 13 years at Point72, D’Antonio had done her fair share of interviews. What does she look for?

“I actually came from a liberal arts background, which aren’t the quantifiable skills that you’d typically associate with success in financial services, but I did acquire critical thinking skills, which is something I always look for in candidates,” D’Antonio said. “Other important attributes are a desire to learn, the ability to learn, ambition, work ethic, curiosity, a passion for what they want to do, a strong directive of what they want to focus on, what they’re able to bring to the organization and creating a role that makes sense for those skills.”

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Rachel D’Antonio of Point72 Asset Management

It is not lost on D’Antonio that she is a woman working in an industry that is still male-dominated, but she doesn’t dwell on it.

“My gender hasn’t really played a role in my success or lack of my success in my career,” D’Antonio said. “I have been the only female in a conference room with only male counterparts, but I haven’t let my gender become a factor when making decisions and working with colleagues.

“Don’t let it be a factor – go after what you’re interested in,” she said. “Express your opinion – don’t let it hold you back in terms of how you navigate your organization or go after career success.”

Another piece of advice? Don’t be wishy-washy or vague when an interviewer or manager asks you want you want. The most important thing is to form an opinion about what they really want to do, D’Antonio said.

“When I ask newer college graduates or juniors what they want to do, many give an open-ended answer, thinking that’s better from an employer standpoint, but it’s more interesting to hear what they don’t want and specifics about what they do want – what they like about the firm they’re interviewing with,” she said. “I want to know if they’re specifically interested in the job they’re interviewing for.

“Someone with a strong opinion about what they want to get out of the role they’re looking for over the first couple of years moves to the top of my list versus someone who isn’t as driven or concise about what they’re looking for.”

Lead photo credit: YinYang/GettyImages; image of D’Antonio courtesy of Point72
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